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An analysis released Thursday by the Council on Criminal Justice shows that the majority of crimes the council tracks are continuing to decrease in 42 U.S. cities.

July 24, 2025Updated 11:35 a.m. ET
Homicides in the United States have continued to fall sharply this year, according to a new analysis published Thursday by the Council on Criminal Justice, a nonprofit policy research organization, based on data from more than three dozen American cities.
If the trend continues for the remainder of the year, the United States could post a third straight year of record declines in homicides.
A set of charts show total homicides over the previous 12 months, reported monthly, for six cities: Chicago, Philadelphia, St. Louis, Baltimore, Detroit and San Antonio. Homicides in each city are down, lower than prepandemic levels.
Chicago
Philadelphia
800
600
400
501 homicides
from July ’24
to June ’25
200
253
Jan. ’19
June ’25
Jan. ’19
June ’25
St. Louis
Baltimore
400
200
176
119
Jan. ’19
June ’25
Jan. ’19
June ’25
Detroit
San Antonio
400
200
206
115
Jan. ’19
June ’25
Jan. ’19
June ’25
Chicago
Philadelphia
Baltimore
800
600
400
501 homicides
from July 2024 to June 2025
253
176
200
2019
2021
2023
2025
2019
2021
2023
2025
2019
2021
2023
2025
St. Louis
Detroit
San Antonio
800
600
400
206
200
119
115
2019
2021
2023
2019
2021
2023
2025
2019
2021
2023
2025
2025
In fact, the new analysis suggests that the broad crime surge that took place during the pandemic has largely reversed itself. Of 13 categories of crimes that the council tracks, only one — car theft — remains higher than in 2019, the year before the pandemic. But the council’s study is limited to a sampling of 42 American cities whose police departments release data on a timely basis, and for which it can make comparisons to crime levels just before the pandemic. The smallest city in the study is Cary, N.C., and the largest is New York City.
The findings of the council’s study through the first six months of this year largely align with other private sources of data that offer clues to national trends about crime. The F.B.I. has typically provided official nationwide crime data once a year. It last released nationwide statistics in September 2024.
A chart shows total murders over the previous 12 months, reported monthly. From June 2024 to May 2025, there were 7,551 murders in the 421 polices agencies represented in the dataset, lower than prepandemic levels.
12,000
10,000
8,000
7,551 murders
from June ’24 to May ’25
6,000
4,000
2,000
2019
2021
2023
2025
12,000
10,000
8,000
7,551 murders
from June 2024 to May 2025
6,000
4,000
2,000
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
A set of charts show total incidents of robberies, aggravated assaults and motor vehicle thefts in the previous 12 months, reported monthly. Robberies are down lower than prepandemic levels, while assaults and auto thefts are down from their peaks but still higher than before the pandemic.
Robberies
100,000
109,253 robberies
from June ’24 to May ’25
2019
2021
2023
2025
Aggravated assaults
400,000
300,000
343,137 assaults
from June ’24 to May ’25
200,000
100,000
2019
2021
2023
2025
Motor vehicle theft
500,000
400,000
397,814 auto thefts
from June ’24 to May ’25
300,000
200,000
100,000
2019
2021
2023
2025
Robberies
Aggravated assaults
Motor vehicle thefts
500,000
400,000
397,814 thefts
343,137 assaults
300,000
200,000
100,000
109,253 robberies
from June 2024 to May 2025
2019
2021
2023
2019
2021
2023
2025
2025
2019
2021
2023
2025