China and Japan, With Trump in the Middle, Are in a Showdown

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News Analysis

With Japan’s new leader refusing to back down from China’s show of force and claims on Taiwan, Xi Jinping picks up the phone to try to pry the U.S.-Japan alliance apart.

Donald Trump and Xi Jinping stand beside each other, both in blue suits. U.S. and Chinese flags frame them in the background.
President Trump and Xi Jinping meeting in Busan, South Korea, in October. A phone call on Monday between the two leaders came as tensions have risen between China and Japan.Credit...Haiyun Jiang/The New York Times

Keith BradsherRiver Akira Davis

Nov. 25, 2025, 6:39 a.m. ET

If anyone needed evidence that a critical moment is developing in Asia-Pacific diplomacy, look no further than the phone call on Monday between Xi Jinping, China’s top leader, and President Trump.

Mr. Xi reached out to Mr. Trump because a Japanese leader is taking her country’s strongest stance since World War II to assert that Taiwan’s security is also Japan’s security. While that has long been apparent to military planners, given Taiwan’s proximity to southern Japan — and also to U.S. bases there — Japan’s new strategic posture has alarmed Beijing’s leaders.

China has been doing everything possible in recent years to isolate Taiwan, an island democracy, and persuade other countries to accept Beijing’s claim to sovereignty there. Most countries have switched diplomatic recognition from Taipei to Beijing, leaving Taiwan increasingly friendless. Countries like Lithuania and the Czech Republic that dare to contact Taiwan informally face swift retribution from Beijing. Chinese air and naval patrols circumnavigate Taiwan with increasing frequency.

So few observers expected Japan’s new prime minister, Sanae Takaichi, to immediately take a tough stand toward China. But on Nov. 7, she told Parliament that an effort by China to blockade or invade Taiwan would be a “survival” issue for Japan, a term that has legal implications in Japan by permitting an overseas deployment of its military Self-Defense Forces.

Image

Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi of Japan speaks to the media after a telephone call with President Trump at her official residence in Tokyo on Tuesday.Credit...Issei Kato/Reuters

Ms. Takaichi’s comments were among the strongest ever by a Japanese leader about helping to defend Taiwan, although former President Joseph R. Biden Jr. made similar remarks four times while in office.


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