Forced to Wait for Trump, Israel Faces Strategic Dilemma in Iran

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News Analysis

The Israeli military needs American help to destroy a key nuclear site in Iran. Waiting for that help comes with risks for Israel.

Trails of light in the night sky above a cityscape.
Israel’s air defense system intercepting missiles from Iran over Tel Aviv on Wednesday. The longer Israel waits for President Trump’s decision on an American attack on Iran, the greater the strain on Israel’s defenses.Credit...Leo Correa/Associated Press

Patrick Kingsley

June 20, 2025, 5:13 a.m. ET

President Trump’s decision to defer an American attack on Iran has left Israel in a strategic bind.

Israel’s main remaining war goal is to wipe out a nuclear enrichment site at Fordo in northern Iran, which is buried so deep underground that Israeli bombs will struggle to damage it.

For days, Israeli officials hoped that Mr. Trump would send American warplanes armed with the only munitions in the world that are deemed powerful enough to destroy Fordo.

Now, Mr. Trump says he will wait up to two weeks before deciding whether to make such an intervention — a delay that imposes a dilemma on Israel.

The longer Israel waits for Mr. Trump, the greater the strain on its air defense system. To keep out Iran’s ballistic missile barrages, Israel is burning through its stocks of missile interceptors, forcing it to prioritize the protection of some areas over others. As time goes on, that raises the risk of more missiles hitting both civilian neighborhoods and strategic security sites.

With Israel’s airspace closed and much of its economic life suspended, the war’s protraction will also come at an economic cost. The sooner the war ends, the faster commercial flights will return and businesses can resume full operations.

Rather than wait for American help, Israel could decide to attack Fordo alone — taking a chance with the planes and munitions it has at its disposal. Some analysts say that Israel could even send commandos to enter and sabotage the site. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu hinted at going it alone on Thursday, saying in a television interview that Israel would “achieve all of our objectives, all of their nuclear facilities. We have the power to do so.”


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