How Adams Lost His Coalition and Became an Also-Ran

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Eric Adams started with strong support among Black and working-class voters. By the time he dropped out, his re-election effort was polling below 10 percent.

Eric Adams, in a black suit and blue tie, with a pocket kerchief, stands with emblems of the Department of Homeland Security behind him.
Mayor Eric Adams at the Department of Homeland Security in April.Credit...Angelina Katsanis for The New York Times

Katie GlueckRuth Igielnik

Sept. 29, 2025Updated 10:35 a.m. ET

In the summer of 2021, Black and working-class New York Democrats exhausted by the pandemic and increasingly worried about crime embraced Eric Adams, a former police captain who made public safety the centerpiece of his mayoral primary campaign.

By that fall, a broader swath of New Yorkers — including the more affluent and educated Manhattanites who had been skeptical of him in the primary — decided to take a chance on Mr. Adams, with some embracing his up-by-the-bootstraps biographic claims and pledges to combat both crime and police brutality. And as he took office, even many Republicans in the city voiced optimism for his time as mayor.

But it didn’t take long for that sense of good will to erode. And by the time Mr. Adams abandoned his re-election campaign on Sunday, the man who once trumpeted his “historic, diverse, five-borough coalition” was getting trounced in every borough and with every demographic. The multiracial coalition he had once assembled — from East New York to East Tremont — was in tatters.

In that 2021 primary race, results sometimes broke down along geographic lines. Across parts of Crown Heights, for instance, ​​Eastern Parkway marked the divide between the older, working-class voters of color who preferred Mr. Adams, and the young professionals who embraced his chief progressive rival at the time, Maya Wiley.

At the start of Mr. Adams’s term, polling showed that nearly two-thirds of New Yorkers were optimistic about what his time as mayor would bring. That optimism was strong across every borough, racial group and age bracket, and even included nearly half of Republicans. Mr. Adams performed particularly well with older and Black voters, while voters under the age of 35 were somewhat less enthusiastic.

Image

Eric Adams greets supporters in Sunset Park in 2021. Black and working-class Democrats embraced his mayoral primary campaign that year.Credit...Andrew Seng for The New York Times

How a race without Adams could look:

In the New York Times/Siena poll, Adams’s supporters were given a hypothetical head-to-head matchup between Cuomo and Mamdani.

Reallocated votes from Eric Adams supporters

Based on a New York Times/Siena poll of 1,284 likely voters in New York City from Sept. 2 to 6.

The chart allocates respondents who initially said they would vote for Adams to Mamdani or Cuomo based on a hypothetical head-to-head. Those who initially said they would vote for Curtis Sliwa are not reallocated. Voters who did not respond or who said they didn’t know are not shown.

By Ashley Cai


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