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If President Trump flies to China as planned in May, the primary topic will clearly be the rippling economic effects of a war that Beijing has made clear it viewed as unnecessary.
April 30, 2026, 12:12 p.m. ET
President Trump’s declaration that he is willing to maintain a blockade on Iranian shipping until the Iranians surrender to his demands almost assures that the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed by the time he arrives in Beijing in two weeks.
That is exactly what Mr. Trump was seeking to avoid when he delayed his trip to China six weeks ago. And it vastly complicates a critical meeting with President Xi Jinping, forcing White House officials to rethink how Mr. Trump approaches the effort to engineer a rapprochement with China.
In public and private, Mr. Xi has demanded that the United States reopen the waterway through which China imports about a third of its oil and gas.
When Mr. Trump initially envisioned the trip as the first in a series of carefully scripted meetings, the possibility of a war with Iran was not on the radar of most administration officials. When he delayed it in early April, he was confident the war would be over quickly.
At the time of that decision, members of Mr. Trump’s national security team said they hoped that forcing Iran into a nuclear deal after a relatively short bombing campaign would be a demonstration of American power and reach. They also saw it as a warning to Beijing as Mr. Trump sought a rapprochement with the country that is America’s largest military, technologic and economic competitor.
But that assumption, like so many about the course of the war with Iran, has now gone badly awry.
If Mr. Trump flies to China as planned, with an intensive, two-day visit starting on May 14, the primary topic will clearly be the rippling economic effects of a war that China has made clear it viewed as unnecessary. Mr. Xi went further recently, warning that the world may be returning to the “law of the jungle,” though he made no specific reference to Iran or the strait at that time.
