​South Korea’s Election Likely to Reset Ties With China

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Both of the main candidates support the alliance with the United States, but the front-runner favors diplomacy with North Korea and China to improve strained relations.

Banners display the faces of two men, with a woman walking by in front.
Banners showing South Korea’s two main presidential candidates Lee Jae-myung, left, and Kim Moon-soo, right. The June 3 election outcome will have an impact on the country’s foreign policy.Credit...Anthony Wallace/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Choe Sang-Hun

June 1, 2025, 12:01 a.m. ET

If the front-runner for the presidential election on Tuesday wins, South Korea is likely to enter a major course correction in its diplomacy to improve ties with North Korea and China.

South Korea’s relations with North Korea and China became increasingly strained under former President Yoon Suk Yeol, who was expelled from office in April following his short-lived imposition of martial law. Under Mr. Yoon, South Korea became more confrontational toward North Korea, shunning dialogue and encouraging the spread of outside information into the isolated country. North Korea abandoned its long-held policy of supporting reunification with South Korea, redefining the South as an enemy that must be subjugated, if necessary, with ​its nuclear weapons.

Mr. Yoon also disturbed a delicate balance South Korea had always ​struggled to maintain between Washington and Beijing. While China emerged​ as ​South Korea’s biggest trade partner in the post-Cold War decades, the United States remained as its only military ally. Mr. Yoon​ not only openly sided with ​the United States in the strategic competition between Washington and Beijing, but he also antagonized Beijing by raising suspicions that it has sent spies to South Korea and may have manipulated its elections.

“The relations between South Korea and China became the worst ever,” said Lee Jae-myung, the candidate most likely to win the presidential election according to pre-election polls. He has criticized Mr. Yoon’s policy toward China. “I will stabilize and manage the relations,” he said.

Image

South Korea’s former president, Yoon Suk Yeol, took a strong line against Chinese influence. He was alongside Xi Jinping, China’s leader, it the APEC summit in San Francisco in 2023, where they exchanged greetings.Credit...Doug Mills/The New York Times

In many ways, the foreign policy platforms of Mr. Lee​ and his main rival, Kim Moon-soo, share similarities.


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