With Tillis Out, North Carolina’s Senate Race Will Draw Parties’ Firepower

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A popular former Democratic governor, Roy Cooper, is expected to announce a bid this summer. The Republicans are banking on an endorsement by President Trump to clear their field.

Thom Tillis walking in a Capitol hallway with reporters on his left and right holding phones up to him. He is carrying a can of soda.
Senator Thom Tillis on Monday on Capitol Hill. His decision not to seek re-election has put a renewed emphasis on the importance of the North Carolina Senate race next year.Credit...Haiyun Jiang/The New York Times

Reid J. Epstein

July 1, 2025, 5:01 a.m. ET

The announcement this past weekend from Senator Thom Tillis of North Carolina that he will not seek re-election is renewing the focus on a Senate race that was poised to be one of the two top contests on the 2026 midterm map.

For months, Democrats were eager to run against Mr. Tillis, who was being squeezed from both the political left and right as he sought to navigate life as a battleground-state senator with President Trump in the White House.

Officials in both parties acknowledged that Mr. Tillis was in a weakened political state. He won his last re-election in 2020 only after his Democratic opponent was engulfed in an extramarital sexting scandal, and he has long had an arms-length relationship with the Trump base of his party.

In recent months, several North Carolina Republicans have inquired about either mounting a primary challenge to Mr. Tillis or seeking the nomination with the expectation that the senator would not run again.

Democrats, for the most part, have yielded to their expected front-runner, former Gov. Roy Cooper, who left office at the start of this year. During his farewell address to the state in December, he pointedly declared: “I’m not done.”

Here are four key questions about North Carolina’s Senate race.

Will former Gov. Roy Cooper run?

Mr. Cooper is by far the most popular Democrat in North Carolina. He is undefeated as a statewide candidate, having won four elections as attorney general and two as governor. In 2012, Republicans did not even bother to put up a candidate against Mr. Cooper.


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