Russian Forces Depleted and Stalling on Eastern Front, Ukraine Says

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But as Ukraine prepares to meet with U.S. officials, Ukrainian soldiers say they are bracing for attacks to take advantage of a pause in U.S. intelligence.

Partially illuminated soldiers with weapons can be seen in a dark space.
Ukrainian soldiers preparing to launch an assault in the Donetsk region last month. After more than 15 months of Russian offensive, they are finding opportunities for localized counterattacks.Credit...Tyler Hicks/The New York Times

Marc Santora

By Marc Santora

Marc Santora reported this story from Kyiv, Ukraine. Over the past three years, he has made repeated visits to the eastern front.

March 10, 2025, 12:01 a.m. ET

Ukrainian forces have stalled the Russian offensive in the eastern Donetsk region in recent months and have started to win back small patches of land, according to Ukrainian soldiers and military analysts.

Russia still holds the initiative, and conducts dozens of assaults across the eastern front every day, the soldiers and analysts say. But after more than 15 months on the offensive, Russian brigades have been depleted and Moscow is struggling to replace destroyed equipment, offering limited opportunities that Ukrainian forces are trying to exploit.

“The Russian offensive effort in Donetsk has stalled in recent months due to poor weather, exhaustion among Russian forces, and effective Ukrainian adaptation to the way Russian troops have been fighting,” said Michael Kofman, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Washington.

While it is too early to say the front has stabilized in Donetsk, he said, the situation has improved as Ukraine finds innovative ways to compensate for its shortage of troops.

Ukrainian soldiers cautioned that they expected the Russians to regroup and intensify offensive efforts to take advantage of the sudden suspension of American military assistance and intelligence sharing, which threatens to undermine the Ukrainian war effort.

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The United States suspended military aid to Ukraine in the wake of President Volodymyr Zelensky’s meeting with President Trump last month.Credit...Doug Mills/The New York Times

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