Is Jobs Data Still Reliable? Why Economists Say Yes.

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Two workers in the foreground of a factory yard keep a concrete slab steady as it dangles vertically several inches off the ground, held by a pair of straps.
After the previous monthly jobs report showed weakness in the labor market, President Trump fired the head of the agency that produces the data.Credit...Scott McIntyre for The New York Times

Ben Casselman

Sept. 5, 2025, 5:44 a.m. ET

When last month’s jobs report showed unexpected weakness in the labor market, President Trump fired the head of the agency that produces the data and named a loyalist to run the department that produces those numbers.

That has prompted a natural question ahead of Friday’s jobs report: Can this month’s numbers be trusted?

The answer, according to economists and experts in government statistics, is yes — but with all the same caveats that always apply to the data.

Economists across the political spectrum have criticized Mr. Trump’s decision to fire the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Erika McEntarfer, and his choice to replace her. The president tapped E.J. Antoni, a conservative economist with a history of distorting statistics to support his political arguments.

Mr. Antoni has not yet been confirmed by the Senate — Mr. Trump didn’t even formally nominate him for the position until Wednesday — so he isn’t yet in charge of the agency. In the meantime, it is being run by its deputy commissioner, William J. Wiatrowski, who served as acting commissioner twice before.

Erica Groshen, who led the bureau under President Barack Obama, described Mr. Wiatrowski as a “B.L.S. lifer” who is committed to the agency’s mission of producing statistics that are free of political influence. She and others who know him said they were confident that he would speak up — or resign — rather than allow anyone to interfere improperly in the agency’s work.


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