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Zohran Mamdani, the Democratic nominee in the New York City mayoral race, is way ahead of his three rivals, but his lead would diminish considerably if the field shrank to a two-man race.
The New York Times/Siena College Poll
Sept. 2-6
If the 2025 New York City mayoral election were held today, who would you vote for?
Based on a New York Times/Siena College poll of 1,284 likely voters in New York City from Sept. 2-6.
Voters who said they would vote for another candidate or who said they would not vote are not shown.
By Ashley Cai
Sept. 9, 2025Updated 5:33 a.m. ET
Zohran Mamdani has opened a commanding lead in the race for mayor of New York City, buoyed by support for his affordability platform and by the splintered opposition, according to a new survey by The New York Times and Siena College.
The poll found that 46 percent of likely voters currently planned to choose Mr. Mamdani, the Democratic nominee, in a four-way race. His support spans racial and ethnic groups but is especially strong among young and highly educated voters.
By comparison, 24 percent of likely voters in New York City said they would support former Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo, who is running as an independent after losing June’s Democratic primary; 15 percent would back the Republican candidate, Curtis Sliwa; and 9 percent favored Mayor Eric Adams, the scandal-scarred incumbent who is also running on an independent line.
The survey captured the state of the race in early September at a moment of unusual flux. The day after polling began, The New York Times reported that President Trump and powerful figures in New York City were endeavoring to create a one-on-one contest between Mr. Cuomo, 67, and Mr. Mamdani, a 33-year-old state assemblyman and democratic socialist.
The extraordinary effort has included negotiations about Mr. Adams potentially suspending his campaign and accepting a nomination to be ambassador to Saudi Arabia. Presidential advisers have also discussed strategies to try to push Mr. Sliwa out of the race.
The New York Times/Siena College Poll
Sept. 2-6
Which of the following mayoral candidates do you think would do the best job on each of the following issues?
Mamdani
49%
30%
36%
Cuomo
23%
29%
31%
Sliwa
13%
23%
16%
Adams
10%
15%
13%
Don’t know/ did not say
5%
3%
4%
Mamdani
46%
41%
43%
Cuomo
24%
30%
16%
Sliwa
16%
16%
8%
Adams
11%
9%
11%
Don’t know/ did not say
4%
4%
21%
*Poll question asked who has best addressed the conflict during the campaign
Based on a New York Times/Siena College poll of 1,284 likely voters in New York City from Sept. 2-6.
Voters who said another candidate would do the best job are not shown.
By Ashley Cai
